CA:not live yet
Bond Market
live
Reading the PumpFun curves…

Prediction market · settled by the PumpFun curve

Will it bond?
Bet on it.

Pick a live PumpFun coin and bet YES, it bonds, or NO, get out. The curve already fixes what a YES bet is worth at the bond, so you see your payout before you sign. No oracle, no admin, nobody holding your SOL.

Pick a coin How it settles
Near bonding now…
Bonded, last hour…
New coins, last 5 min…
Closest to the line…
Bond Market seal: a PumpFun pill inside an engraved bond seal
curve …
just bonded …

01 · Markets

Coins on the curve, right now

Live from Jupiter. Pick one to see who's really holding it and to place a bet.

updating…

02 · Bond check

Read the wallets before you bet

What the chart doesn't show: who funded the top wallets, bundles, fresh wallets, known traders and the dev's track record.

Loading a live coin…
–of the curve
SOL of buying left to bond–
Market cap–
Net buyers, last 5 min–
Source–

Reading the top 100 wallets…

Wallet groups · who funded the top holders

Top holders

#WalletHoldsFunded byNotes

03 · How it settles

The curve is the referee

Every PumpFun coin has a bonding-curve account with one byte that flips to 1 when it bonds. Both bet types answer to it.

Curve bet · live now

Your YES is a buy on the curve The curve sells the last token at 115 SOL against 279.9M tokens, every time. So the price at the bond is known in advance, and the ticket turns your stake into a payout before you sign. NO means selling your bag back into the curve.

Pool bet · soon

YES against NO, winner takes the pot A small open program holds two pools per coin. It reads the curve's byte at the deadline: bonded is YES, not bonded in 24 hours is NO. The code is in the repo; the pool buttons switch on when it's live on Solana.
1 · openAnyone opens a marketfor a coin that hasn't bonded. Costs only account rent. 24-hour clock starts.
2 · betYou stake YES or NOfrom your wallet into the market account. Bets stop at the deadline or the second it bonds.
3 · settleAnyone presses settleCurve says complete → YES. 24h up and not complete → NO. No vote, no admin.
4 · claimWinners claimtheir stake plus their share of the losing pool, straight to their wallet.
bond_market · resolve
// the PumpFun curve account, checked by address and owner
let complete = curve.data[48] == 1;

if complete {
    market.outcome = YES;          // can settle the moment it bonds
} else {
    require!(now >= market.deadline);
    market.outcome = NO;
}

Payout math, pari-mutuel

YES poolSOL
NO poolSOL
Your YES betSOL

  • Nobody took the other side? Everyone gets their stake back.
  • No house edge, no fee, no admin key. The program can't be paused.
  • Mayhem-mode coins aren't listed here.

04 · Your bets

Claim it yourself

Connect the wallet you bet with. Each bet shows its curve now, whether it bonded, and a one-tap sell.

01Place a curve bet above. The tokens land in your own wallet the second it confirms.
02Watch it here: curve %, time left of the 24 hours, and Bonded when the byte flips.
03Press Sell whenever you want. On the curve or after the bond, it's your call.
Bond Market seal

05 · $BondMarket

The coin behind the market

$BondMarket launches on PumpFun. Yes, you can open a market on it.

CA CA: coming soon
Buy on PumpFun · soon X · soon

06 · Straight answers

Before you bet

Who holds my SOL?

Curve bet: nobody. Your SOL goes into the PumpFun curve and the tokens come straight back to your wallet in the same transaction. Pool bet: the market's own account on Solana, which only the claim instruction can empty, and only to winners. We never touch either.

Is the curve-bet payout guaranteed?

The bond price is: the curve math fixes it. What isn't: whether it bonds, and the price after it does. Coins often dump right after bonding, so sell when you like the number.

What counts as "bonded"?

The PumpFun bonding curve marking itself complete, the same moment PumpFun moves the coin to its AMM. If that happens before the deadline, YES wins.

Can I lose everything?

Yes. If your side loses, your stake goes to the other side. Coins can be pumped by bundles right up to the line, or dumped a minute before. Bet what you can lose.

Is the bond check a prediction?

No. It shows real wallet data from Jupiter: who funded the top holders, bundles, fresh wallets, known traders, the dev's past coins. You make the call.

Why can I bet YES at 95%?

You can, but so did everyone else. In a pari-mutuel pool a crowded side pays less. The payout box shows your real number before you sign.

Is the program live?

Curve bets work right now. The pool program's code is written; its buttons only switch on when it's live on Solana mainnet, and until then they say "soon".